Move over Collin and Denton Counties; Kaufman County has arrived!
The city of Kaufman's slogan — "We're Growing Places" — rings true, according to newly released population estimates that show its county booming. Kaufman County is growing faster than any other county in the nation, according to one-year estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. "We're seeing tremendous growth in all of the counties surrounding Dallas," Lloyd Potter, director of the Texas Demographic Center said. "These counties are largely growing because there's economic opportunity, meaning that we're growing jobs in Texas." While newly released census data showed positive growth across North Texas, Kaufman County, saw an 18% population boost between 2019 and 2021, the most of seven Dallas-Forth Worth area counties. Not only has the county grown by over 21,000 residents in those two years according to Census estimates, but it has also seen its diversity soar. From 2016-2021, Kaufman's population grew from 118,350 residents to 140,145. These estimates don't reflect the tremendous growth from 2022. The 800-square-mile county is seeing more than 30,000 new homes being built or in early development stages in its six biggest cities. Calculating for 4 people per household, the county is preparing for a population increase of about 120,000 more people in the next 18 months.
Single-family building permits continue to slide in the suburbs and exurbs north of Dallas and Fort Worth, although there are exceptions. Year-to-date home-building permits are down 45% in Frisco, 27% in Celina and 21% in Prosper, with the spring building season well underway. In Frisco, 624 single-family permits were issued in January, February, March and April combined. That compares to 1,134 in the same period of 2021, according to data compiled by Addison-based Tomlin Investments, which tracks new home construction around Dallas-Fort Worth. So far this year, builders have pulled 732 permits in Celina and 378 permits in Prosper. That compares to 1,003 in Celina and 476 in Celina in the first four months of last year. Permits in Princeton plunged 48%, from 606 in the first four months of 2021 to 313 so far this year. Home permits in McKinney, Melissa and Little Elm are down, too, albeit by smaller amounts. McKinney permits dropped 9% to 597 in the first four months, Melissa is down 4% to 295 permits, and Little Elm is down 5% to 451.
It's a different story in the exurbs Van Alstyne, Sherman, Anna and Denton. Van Alstyne is up 146% year-to-date, with 251 permits so far. Sherman has soared 98% with 208 permits, Anna has escalated 29% with 516 permits, and Denton ticked up 9% to 381 permits to date.